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(CNN) — The number of Ebola cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone could rise to between 550,000 and 1.4 million by January if there are no “additional interventions or changes in community behavior,” the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said in a report Tuesday. The estimate was derived from a new forecasting tool developed by the CDC.

The range of estimated cases — from 550,000 to 1.4 million — is wide because experts suspects the current count is highly under-reported. The official death toll from Ebola in West Africa has climbed to more than 2,800 in six months, with 5,800 cases confirmed as of Monday, the World Health Organization said.

But the CDC estimates that if 70 percent of people with Ebola are properly cared for in medical facilities, the epidemic could decrease and eventually end.

In a press conference Tuesday, CDC Director Tom Frieden cautioned that this model…

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